OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government net financial liabilities as a percentage of GDP by country
Long-run economic scenarios (to 2100) are produced every 2-3 years to look at factors influencing the global economy that play out over many decades. Different vintages look at a different set of scenarios described in an associated publication. Selected series from these scenarios are available here for individual...
What the numbers show
OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government net financial liabilities as a percentage of GDP is currently reported for 35 countries. The highest value is 122.38 in Italy; the lowest is -461.28 in Norway.
The median across all reporting countries is 23.68, and the mean is 19.72.
Over the past decade 11 countries rose and 24 fell. The largest increase was in Australia (up 2.2%), and the largest decrease in Estonia (down 160.7%).
OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy | 122.38 | 2100 | up 0.1% | rising |
| 2 | Greece | 106.63 | 2100 | down 0.6% | rising |
| 2 | Croatia | 29.64 | 2100 | down 0.6% | volatile |
| 3 | United States of America | 102.08 | 2100 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 4 | Japan | 83.96 | 2100 | down 0.2% | rising |
| 4 | Poland | 43.15 | 2100 | down 1.9% | rising |
| 5 | France | 82.29 | 2100 | up 0.4% | rising |
| 5 | Netherlands | 23.68 | 2100 | up 1.4% | falling |
| 6 | Belgium | 80.11 | 2100 | down 0.3% | falling |
| 6 | Slovenia | 19.61 | 2100 | down 0.5% | volatile |
| 7 | United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 78.33 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 7 | Latvia | 19.28 | 2100 | down 11.3% | volatile |
| 8 | Spain | 75.96 | 2100 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 8 | Lithuania | 13.07 | 2100 | down 8.9% | volatile |
| 9 | OECD | 67.07 | 2100 | down 0.0% | rising |
| 9 | Estonia | -2.47 | 2100 | down 160.7% | volatile |
| 10 | Israel | 65.42 | 2100 | down 0.6% | falling |
| 11 | Portugal | 59.2 | 2100 | up 0.5% | falling |
| 12 | Austria | 53.71 | 2100 | down 0.8% | rising |
| 13 | Hungary | 53 | 2100 | down 0.9% | rising |
| 14 | Romania | 48.67 | 2100 | down 0.2% | volatile |
| 15 | Germany | 30.66 | 2100 | down 2.4% | falling |
| 16 | Czechia | 19.23 | 2100 | down 5.8% | volatile |
| 17 | New Zealand | 15.6 | 2100 | down 0.3% | flat |
| 18 | Ireland | 14.05 | 2100 | down 3.0% | volatile |
| 19 | Bulgaria | 9.49 | 2100 | down 3.2% | volatile |
| 20 | Canada | 8.59 | 2100 | up 0.5% | volatile |
| 21 | Australia | 7.21 | 2100 | up 2.2% | volatile |
| 22 | Iceland | -2.8 | 2100 | up 0.2% | volatile |
| 23 | Switzerland | -12.61 | 2100 | down 2.4% | volatile |
| 24 | Denmark | -28.1 | 2100 | up 0.2% | volatile |
| 25 | Sweden | -35.81 | 2100 | down 2.8% | volatile |
| 26 | Luxembourg | -46.75 | 2100 | up 0.3% | rising |
| 27 | Finland | -51.98 | 2100 | down 0.3% | falling |
| 28 | Norway | -461.28 | 2100 | down 0.1% | falling |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- G7 85.54
- Slovak Republic 47.89
- G20 advanced economies 76.94
- Euro area (17 countries) 57.82
- Korea -40.43
About this data
Long-run economic scenarios (to 2100) are produced every 2-3 years to look at factors influencing the global economy that play out over many decades. Different vintages look at a different set of scenarios described in an associated publication. Selected series from these scenarios are available here for individual OECD, accession and G20 economies. A breakdown of the global economy by regions (following World Bank definitions) is also provided.