OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government gross financial liabilities as a percentage of GDP by country
Long-run economic scenarios (to 2100) are produced every 2-3 years to look at factors influencing the global economy that play out over many decades. Different vintages look at a different set of scenarios described in an associated publication. Selected series from these scenarios are available here for individual...
What the numbers show
OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government gross financial liabilities as a percentage of GDP is currently reported for 35 countries. The highest value is 212.55 in Japan; the lowest is 32.24 in Denmark.
The median across all reporting countries is 69.91, and the mean is 80.2.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 7.
Over the past decade 11 countries rose and 23 fell. The largest increase was in Netherlands (up 0.7%), and the largest decrease in Estonia (down 4.2%).
OECD Economic Outlook 117 long-term scenarios — General government: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan | 212.55 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 1 | Croatia | 78.18 | 2100 | down 0.2% | rising |
| 2 | Greece | 155.28 | 2100 | down 0.4% | rising |
| 3 | Italy | 147.17 | 2100 | up 0.0% | rising |
| 4 | United States of America | 129.24 | 2100 | up 0.1% | rising |
| 4 | Poland | 75.15 | 2100 | down 1.1% | rising |
| 5 | France | 123.84 | 2100 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 5 | Slovenia | 69.91 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 6 | OECD | 113.1 | 2100 | down 0.2% | rising |
| 6 | Latvia | 60.81 | 2100 | down 3.9% | rising |
| 7 | Belgium | 108.29 | 2100 | down 0.2% | falling |
| 7 | Netherlands | 50.34 | 2100 | up 0.7% | falling |
| 8 | Canada | 107.49 | 2100 | up 0.0% | rising |
| 8 | Lithuania | 43.74 | 2100 | down 2.8% | rising |
| 9 | Spain | 105.98 | 2100 | up 0.1% | rising |
| 9 | Estonia | 34.53 | 2100 | down 4.2% | rising |
| 10 | United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 104.78 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 11 | Finland | 95.96 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 12 | Portugal | 95.82 | 2100 | up 0.3% | flat |
| 13 | Austria | 95.3 | 2100 | down 0.4% | rising |
| 14 | Hungary | 82.47 | 2100 | down 0.6% | flat |
| 15 | Romania | 76.29 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 16 | Israel | 67.52 | 2100 | down 0.6% | falling |
| 17 | Germany | 65.91 | 2100 | down 1.1% | flat |
| 18 | Australia | 63.14 | 2100 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 19 | Norway | 59.52 | 2100 | unchanged | rising |
| 20 | New Zealand | 59 | 2100 | down 0.1% | rising |
| 21 | Iceland | 52.2 | 2100 | up 0.0% | falling |
| 22 | Czechia | 50.98 | 2100 | down 2.3% | rising |
| 23 | Sweden | 46.29 | 2100 | down 2.1% | falling |
| 24 | Switzerland | 38.68 | 2100 | down 0.8% | falling |
| 25 | Ireland | 36.01 | 2100 | down 1.2% | falling |
| 26 | Bulgaria | 35.55 | 2100 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 27 | Luxembourg | 33.69 | 2100 | up 0.4% | rising |
| 28 | Denmark | 32.24 | 2100 | up 0.2% | falling |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- G7 128.12
- G20 advanced economies 121.67
- Slovak Republic 73.75
- Euro area (17 countries) 94.44
- Korea 53.57
About this data
Long-run economic scenarios (to 2100) are produced every 2-3 years to look at factors influencing the global economy that play out over many decades. Different vintages look at a different set of scenarios described in an associated publication. Selected series from these scenarios are available here for individual OECD, accession and G20 economies. A breakdown of the global economy by regions (following World Bank definitions) is also provided.