Economic Outlook 119 — Trend employment coefficient by country
The OECD Economic Outlook presents the OECD’s analysis of the major global economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, government spending, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the...
What the numbers show
Economic Outlook 119 — Trend employment coefficient is currently reported for 29 countries. The highest value is 1.76 in Luxembourg; the lowest is 0.9846 in Belgium.
The median across all reporting countries is 1.04, and the mean is 1.07.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 2.
Over the past decade 15 countries rose and 12 fell. The largest increase was in Bulgaria (up 9.1%), and the largest decrease in Romania (down 4.8%).
Economic Outlook 119 — Trend employment coefficient: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luxembourg | 1.76 | 2027 | up 3.9% | rising |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 1.23 | 2027 | up 9.1% | flat |
| 3 | Greece | 1.21 | 2027 | down 0.2% | rising |
| 4 | Denmark | 1.11 | 2027 | up 2.8% | rising |
| 5 | Italy | 1.11 | 2027 | up 0.9% | rising |
| 6 | Switzerland | 1.1 | 2027 | up 1.4% | flat |
| 7 | Germany | 1.09 | 2027 | down 0.9% | flat |
| 8 | Romania | 1.08 | 2027 | down 4.8% | falling |
| 9 | Israel | 1.07 | 2027 | down 0.1% | flat |
| 10 | Austria | 1.05 | 2027 | up 1.4% | flat |
| 11 | Finland | 1.05 | 2027 | up 0.9% | rising |
| 12 | France | 1.05 | 2027 | up 0.3% | rising |
| 13 | Czechia | 1.05 | 2027 | down 0.5% | flat |
| 14 | United States of America | 1.04 | 2027 | up 1.2% | flat |
| 15 | Sweden | 1.04 | 2027 | up 1.7% | flat |
| 16 | Norway | 1.04 | 2027 | up 1.3% | flat |
| 17 | Hungary | 1.03 | 2027 | up 3.2% | flat |
| 18 | Portugal | 1.02 | 2027 | down 2.9% | flat |
| 19 | Spain | 1.01 | 2027 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 20 | Japan | 1 | 2027 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 20 | Australia | 1 | 2027 | unchanged | flat |
| 20 | Chile | 1 | 2027 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 20 | Iceland | 1 | 2027 | unchanged | flat |
| 20 | Canada | 1 | 2027 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 20 | United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 1 | 2027 | up 0.0% | flat |
| 26 | Ireland | 0.9983 | 2027 | down 0.1% | flat |
| 27 | New Zealand | 0.9905 | 2027 | up 0.1% | flat |
| 28 | Mexico | 0.9854 | 2027 | down 0.2% | flat |
| 29 | Belgium | 0.9846 | 2027 | up 0.1% | flat |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- Slovenia 1.11
- Croatia 1.05
- Netherlands 1.05
- Korea 1
- Lithuania 1.03
- Slovak Republic 0.9299
- Poland 1.01
- Türkiye 1
- Estonia 0.9829
About this data
The OECD Economic Outlook presents the OECD’s analysis of the major global economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, government spending, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the induced effect on each of them on international developments. OECD (2026), OECD Economic Outlook No 119 (Edition 2026/1) EO119 Database documentation EO119 Last historical points gdp inflation cpi population unemployment real gdp gdp per capita employment OECD Economic Outlook website: https://www.oecd.org/economic-outlook/ Contact: eco.outlook@oecd.org Keywords: Outlook, forecasts, forecast, GDP