Economic Outlook 119 — Contribution to world trade growth, goods and services (in USD, OECD reference year prices) by country
The OECD Economic Outlook presents the OECD’s analysis of the major global economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, government spending, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the...
What the numbers show
Economic Outlook 119 — Contribution to world trade growth, goods and services (in USD, OECD reference year prices) is currently reported for 48 countries. The highest value is 1.32 in OECD; the lowest is 0.0012 in Iceland.
The median across all reporting countries is 0.017, and the mean is 0.0707.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 1,070.
Over the past decade 8 countries rose and 40 fell. The largest increase was in Luxembourg (up 860.2%), and the largest decrease in Italy (down 80.6%).
Economic Outlook 119 — Contribution to world trade growth, goods and: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OECD | 1.32 | 2027 | down 56.8% | volatile |
| 2 | China | 0.5815 | 2027 | down 39.5% | volatile |
| 3 | United States of America | 0.2985 | 2027 | down 41.1% | volatile |
| 4 | India | 0.09 | 2027 | down 52.4% | volatile |
| 4 | Netherlands | 0.0515 | 2027 | down 76.1% | volatile |
| 4 | Croatia | 0.0031 | 2027 | down 66.1% | volatile |
| 5 | Germany | 0.0795 | 2027 | down 73.1% | volatile |
| 5 | Poland | 0.0386 | 2027 | down 64.3% | volatile |
| 6 | Ireland | 0.0759 | 2027 | down 41.7% | volatile |
| 6 | Türkiye | 0.0352 | 2027 | down 68.1% | volatile |
| 7 | France | 0.072 | 2027 | down 60.0% | volatile |
| 7 | Lithuania | 0.0052 | 2027 | down 70.8% | volatile |
| 8 | Mexico | 0.0616 | 2027 | down 37.1% | volatile |
| 8 | Slovenia | 0.0039 | 2027 | down 77.4% | volatile |
| 9 | Japan | 0.0594 | 2027 | down 66.2% | volatile |
| 9 | Estonia | 0.0026 | 2027 | down 29.4% | volatile |
| 10 | Canada | 0.0581 | 2027 | down 25.1% | volatile |
| 10 | Latvia | 0.002 | 2027 | down 68.8% | volatile |
| 11 | United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland | 0.051 | 2027 | down 72.0% | volatile |
| 12 | Switzerland | 0.0439 | 2027 | up 530.7% | volatile |
| 13 | Indonesia | 0.0395 | 2027 | down 43.2% | volatile |
| 14 | Spain | 0.037 | 2027 | down 68.6% | volatile |
| 15 | Australia | 0.0355 | 2027 | down 55.9% | volatile |
| 16 | Brazil | 0.0307 | 2027 | down 55.9% | volatile |
| 17 | Belgium | 0.0272 | 2027 | down 73.3% | volatile |
| 18 | Italy | 0.0271 | 2027 | down 80.6% | volatile |
| 19 | Sweden | 0.0269 | 2027 | down 34.8% | volatile |
| 20 | Israel | 0.0241 | 2027 | up 55.8% | volatile |
| 21 | Denmark | 0.0175 | 2027 | down 52.6% | volatile |
| 22 | Argentina | 0.0164 | 2027 | down 47.4% | volatile |
| 23 | Saudi Arabia | 0.0162 | 2027 | up 223.5% | volatile |
| 24 | Czechia | 0.016 | 2027 | down 68.4% | volatile |
| 25 | Austria | 0.015 | 2027 | down 69.2% | volatile |
| 26 | Hungary | 0.0143 | 2027 | down 60.1% | volatile |
| 27 | Chile | 0.0122 | 2027 | up 53.6% | volatile |
| 28 | Norway | 0.0118 | 2027 | down 2.2% | volatile |
| 29 | Luxembourg | 0.0111 | 2027 | up 860.2% | volatile |
| 30 | Finland | 0.0103 | 2027 | down 63.7% | volatile |
| 31 | Portugal | 0.0101 | 2027 | down 69.4% | volatile |
| 32 | Romania | 0.0099 | 2027 | down 73.4% | volatile |
| 33 | Peru | 0.0097 | 2027 | down 47.8% | volatile |
| 34 | Greece | 0.009 | 2027 | down 63.1% | volatile |
| 35 | South Africa | 0.0078 | 2027 | up 189.6% | volatile |
| 36 | Colombia | 0.0069 | 2027 | up 62.8% | volatile |
| 37 | Costa Rica | 0.006 | 2027 | up 21.8% | volatile |
| 38 | Bulgaria | 0.0045 | 2027 | down 60.7% | volatile |
| 39 | New Zealand | 0.0039 | 2027 | down 66.4% | volatile |
| 40 | Iceland | 0.0012 | 2027 | down 68.0% | volatile |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- Non-OECD economies 1.61
- Dynamic Asian economies 0.3148
- Other oil producers 0.2857
- Korea 0.0541
- Other countries 0.1952
- Slovak Republic 0.0079
About this data
The OECD Economic Outlook presents the OECD’s analysis of the major global economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, government spending, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the induced effect on each of them on international developments. OECD (2026), OECD Economic Outlook No 119 (Edition 2026/1) EO119 Database documentation EO119 Last historical points gdp inflation cpi population unemployment real gdp gdp per capita employment OECD Economic Outlook website: https://www.oecd.org/economic-outlook/ Contact: eco.outlook@oecd.org Keywords: Outlook, forecasts, forecast, GDP